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Transcript

Oracles: Truth or Lies?

Joshua Tobkin of Supra discusses how crypto markets determine asset prices – and why prices became unmoored in the October 10 flash crash.

The JDB Report is diving deep into crypto market structure to understand why things went haywire on October 10, causing $19 billion in liquidations of positions that should have been solvent. Read our summary here.

One of the big questions involves prices, value, and the “oracles” that connect real-world data to on-chain activities. Joshua Tobkin is co-founder and CEO of Supra, a blockchain oracle, helps explain the role of pricing in crypto markets.

Timecode:

0:00 - Joshua Tobkin, Supra introduction, sourcing data, and centralized exchanges versus information on decentralized venues

2:50 - Comparing sourcing and using data in crypto versus in TradFi markets

5:06 - In a trustless environment, do oracles become centralized points of risk?

6:14 - Resilience versus cost for multiple sources of data – and whether multiple sources diversify or concentrate data risk

11:21 - Could oracles be compromised, as LIBOR prices were once corrupted via collusion?

12:45 - During the Binance crash, prices detached from value. Can or should oracles provide context to prices? Josh discusses ideas for reference pricing of assets and detecting anomalies - and implications of pausing trading; circuit breakers in crypto?

19:02 - Automation versus ‘human in the loop’ and whether the industry could allow trades to be reversed; price-based feeds versus prediction feeds; building AI-agent pricing models.

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